Category Archives: Forecasting

The Rise of SVOD and the Future of TV

It’s finally happened, in late September 2018 BARB released the first instalment of Project Dovetail, with census level device-based data (which BARB has been publishing separately on their website since September 2015) being fused with people-based BARB panel data to … Continue reading

Posted in BARB, Death of Television, Econometrics, EPG, FAANG, Forecasting, Future TV, Netflix, Ofcom, Projections, PSB, Regression, SVOD | Leave a comment

The Death of Television 2 – Blame it on the Weather!

A much-anticipated Royal Wedding and successful 2018 FIFA World Cup (with England reaching the semi-finals for the first time since 1990) have resulted in some notable mass audience success stories for schedule-based television in recent months. The 4th series of … Continue reading

Posted in BARB, Death of Television, Facebook, Forecasting, Heat Wave, Impact Assessment, Model, Netflix, Regression, SVOD, Total TV Viewing, Weather | Leave a comment

Forecasting the Audience Impact of Sky’s Proposed EPG Reshuffle

The announcement by Sky early last month that it was planning a radical overhaul of the increasingly complex Sky EPG, with a reshuffle target date of March 2018 after an appropriate consultation and adjustment period, will undoubtedly have set alarm … Continue reading

Posted in +1 Channels, BARB, Channel List, EPG, EPG Prominence, EPG Reshuffle, EPG Viewing Impact, Forecasting, HD, HD/SD Channel Swap, HD/SD Simulcast Channels, High Definition, Ofcom, PSB, Sky, Sky Platform, Television, Time-Shifted Channels, TV, Viewing, Virgin Media | Leave a comment

EPG Prominence and Channel Performance – It Still Matters

In the late noughties, I was at a conference where one of the delegates noted how EPGs (electronic programme guides) with their ordered lists of channels and schedule information were so archaic that they might as well be considered ‘Victorian’, … Continue reading

Posted in 4Seven, Amazon, BARB, Channel List, Death of Television, DTT, EPG, EPG Prominence, EPG Reshuffle, EPG Viewing Impact, Forecasting, Freeview, Internet TV, Linear TV, Live TV, Netflix, Ofcom, PVR, Sky, SVOD, Tablets, Television, The Grand Tour, Total TV, TV in 2020, Virgin Media, VOD, YouTube | Leave a comment

Expectations versus Reality: TV Viewing by Age Group

Over the last decade in particular, our industry has been plagued by poor predictions resulting from an overestimation of the disruptive viewing impact of technological change. To counter this, it has been suggested that any new forecast should be accompanied … Continue reading

Posted in 2020 Forecast, Age Groups, BARB, Catch-Up TV, Children, Death of Television, Digital Switchover, DVR, Employment Rate, Forecasting, Future TV, HD, High Definition, Internet TV, Live TV, Millennials, Project Dovetail, PVR, Smart Phones, Smart TV, Tablets, Television, Timeshifted TV, Timeshifting, Total TV, Total TV audience, Total TV Viewing, TV, TV in 2020, Viewing, VOD, Weather | Leave a comment

Forecasting the Total TV Audience in 2020

Annual BARB measured television viewing levels in the UK have fallen again significantly for the second year running, further highlighting the end of the exceptionally high and stable levels of Total TV viewing that were a hallmark of the new … Continue reading

Posted in 2020 Forecast, BARB, BARB Panel, BARB Panel change, Catch-Up TV, Death of Television, Forecasting, Project Dovetail, Tablets, Television, Total TV, Total TV audience, Total TV Viewing, TV, TV in 2020, Viewing, VOD | Leave a comment